Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2840.122384 3072.157980 3307.428637 3563.520003 3834.094736 4111.149601 4415.958339
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2497.903610 2845.911550 3212.015494 3624.635059 4075.492349 4551.946960 5092.272498
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2225.311026 2637.862431 3084.107066 3600.156930 4177.921880 4802.329195 5525.587002
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2080.016135 2547.061467 3063.791488 3673.762023 4369.881402 5135.388908 6036.565410
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1932.522417 2437.877887 3008.577375 3694.768493 4491.239123 5380.501025 6442.124886
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1797.875969 2331.857315 2946.450443 3697.964835 4583.709450 5586.175229 6797.893035
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1621.503863 2164.263827 2801.247965 3593.537047 4541.763776 5629.505216 6960.442531
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1579.229880 2155.261286 2841.521217 3706.272444 4753.273793 5966.501586 7464.503446
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1522.077395 2123.387803 2850.400206 3778.160009 4914.058632 6243.071420 7898.251578
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1435.534585 2049.290939 2802.834839 3777.085350 4983.614355 6409.191155 8200.170951
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1344.709889 1964.687400 2737.668728 3750.075199 5018.034278 6530.629103 8447.073606
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1287.983755 1921.286620 2721.763896 3782.224181 5123.498727 6736.946437 8796.170179
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1216.857694 1856.618519 2677.309908 3777.933157 5184.646154 6891.778600 9087.373694
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1178.756939 1834.555318 2686.779476 3841.886776 5331.599332 7153.136839 9511.249528
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1107.900586 1764.007744 2629.315855 3816.323779 5362.749026 7269.612599 9756.192223
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1081.656271 1753.885438 2650.930146 3893.187077 5524.478218 7549.225041 10204.453025
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1036.796411 1715.176908 2632.141317 3915.120309 5614.375563 7738.390126 10540.641984
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 988.201788 1668.737709 2600.757446 3918.457547 5678.794886 7894.722029 10835.844947
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 904.010990 1566.461608 2488.673767 3809.410022 5592.553564 7856.574498 10883.521987
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 900.660362 1583.584599 2543.082992 3927.131212 5806.740366 8204.592527 11423.340928
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 883.683581 1579.265427 2566.601753 4002.177533 5964.391993 8480.690608 11873.270723
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 843.645002 1538.029053 2536.005886 4001.055768 6019.145607 8623.258145 12152.615527
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 797.663337 1485.510660 2487.268651 3972.860537 6035.971577 8715.546417 12366.964168